PUBLICATIONS

This study examines the upper limit (cap) of oil palm plantation area in Indonesia based on environmental carrying capacity (D3TLH). Its goal is to identify an optimal plantation size that supports economic needs without exceeding ecological limits.

The analysis applies ecological footprint methods, biophysical data, and spatial modeling to estimate land needs and suitability. Limiting factors such as conservation areas, peatlands, forests, and indigenous territories are included to avoid environmental damage and social conflict.

The results indicate a national cap of about 18.15 million hectares, which is close to the existing area, meaning expansion space is very limited. The study recommends prioritizing productivity improvement, replanting, and sustainability-based policies.